2026 · Week 1

Projected scores (optimal lineup off Sleeper's weekly projections)

The linehold 4.5%

Tyscans-6.5-16058.9%

barmstrong248+6.5+13541.1%

O/U 252.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

barmstrong248122.6 proj

QBJoe Burrow QB·CIN20.1
RBJonathan Taylor RB·IND19.6
RBJavonte Williams RB·DAL15.5
WRDrake London WR·ATL15.8
WRGarrett Wilson WR·NYJ13.5
TEMark Andrews TE·BAL10.9
FLEXDavid Montgomery RB·HOU13.9
KChris Boswell K·PIT6.0
DEFMIN DEF DEF·MIN7.3

Bench

Jaxson Dart QB·NYG19.4
Jameson Williams WR·DET13.9
Rico Dowdle RB·PIT12.5
Chris Godwin WR·TB11.0
Woody Marks RB·HOU8.1

Tyscans129.6 proj

QBCaleb Williams QB·CHI19.6
RBChristian McCaffrey RB·SF21.0
RBKenneth Walker RB·KC16.0
WRDeVonta Smith WR·PHI14.9
WRZay Flowers WR·BAL15.6
TETyler Warren TE·IND13.9
FLEXJayden Reed WR·GB13.1
KKa'imi Fairbairn K·HOU6.8
DEFPHI DEF DEF·PHI8.7

Bench

Bo Nix QB·DEN17.9
Aaron Jones RB·MIN9.1
Blake Corum RB·LAR8.5
Brenton Strange TE·JAX8.2
Kaelon Black RB·SF1.9

The linehold 4.5%

drewhenrikson-0.5-11550.9%

DHensleyWC7L+0.5-10549.1%

O/U 241.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

DHensleyWC7L119.4 proj

QBDrake Maye QB·NE19.7
RBOmarion Hampton RB·LAC15.6
RBBreece Hall RB·NYJ13.9
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown WR·DET19.8
WRTetairoa McMillan WR·CAR14.0
TETucker Kraft TE·GB10.9
FLEXRJ Harvey RB·DEN10.2
KEvan McPherson K·CIN6.8
DEFLAC DEF DEF·LAC8.5

Bench

Jordan Addison WR·MIN11.2
Matthew Golden WR·GB9.9
Dalton Kincaid TE·BUF9.4
Tyler Allgeier RB·ARI8.5
Makai Lemon WR·PHI6.0

drewhenrikson120.6 proj

QBMatthew Stafford QB·LAR17.0
RBTravis Etienne RB·NO15.0
RBDe'Von Achane RB·MIA17.5
WRCeeDee Lamb WR·DAL17.1
WRMalik Nabers WR·NYG13.9
TESam LaPorta TE·DET13.5
FLEXCourtland Sutton WR·DEN10.6
KCam Little K·JAX6.5
DEFJAX DEF DEF·JAX9.5

Bench

Jordan Love QB·GB17.4
Rachaad White RB·WAS10.3
Alec Pierce WR·IND8.8
Tyrone Tracy RB·NYG4.1
Josh Jacobs RB·GB—

The linehold 4.5%

Trevor-2-12552.7%

Nshull3+2+10547.3%

O/U 237.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Nshull3117.8 proj

QBJosh Allen QB·BUF21.1
RBJames Cook RB·BUF17.1
RBQuinshon Judkins RB·CLE12.2
WRChris Olave WR·NO16.2
WRChristian Watson WR·GB13.7
TETravis Kelce TE·KC11.0
FLEXParker Washington WR·JAX11.9
KCameron Dicker K·LAC7.2
DEFBAL DEF DEF·BAL7.4

Bench

Quentin Johnston WR·LAC11.1
MarShawn Lloyd RB·GB10.9
Jonathon Brooks RB·CAR9.4
Ray Davis RB·BUF3.9
Terrance Ferguson TE·LAR3.7

Trevor119.7 proj

QBJayden Daniels QB·WAS19.0
RBKyren Williams RB·LAR14.4
RBBhayshul Tuten RB·JAX11.3
WRJa'Marr Chase WR·CIN19.7
WRTerry McLaurin WR·WAS13.6
TEBrock Bowers TE·LV16.0
FLEXDK Metcalf WR·PIT11.9
KTyler Loop K·BAL7.1
DEFNE DEF DEF·NE6.7

Bench

Rome Odunze WR·CHI11.5
Jake Ferguson TE·DAL9.7
Kyle Monangai RB·CHI7.4
Malachi Fields WR·NYG6.9
De'Zhaun Stribling WR·SF6.9
Zach Charbonnet RB·SEA—

The linehold 4.5%

jchase77-4-14055.5%

trae071091+4+11544.5%

O/U 244spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

jchase77123.7 proj

QBDak Prescott QB·DAL18.9
RBJahmyr Gibbs RB·DET23.7
RBD'Andre Swift RB·CHI13.6
WRNico Collins WR·HOU17.4
WREmeka Egbuka WR·TB11.7
TEColston Loveland TE·CHI14.2
FLEXTony Pollard RB·TEN10.0
KHarrison Mevis K·LAR7.1
DEFHOU DEF DEF·HOU7.1

Bench

Brock Purdy QB·SF18.8
Brian Thomas WR·JAX10.5
Jakobi Meyers WR·JAX10.4
Hunter Henry TE·NE9.4
Jordan Mason RB·MIN9.1

trae071091120.1 proj

QBLamar Jackson QB·BAL20.9
RBBijan Robinson RB·ATL21.5
RBJ.K. Dobbins RB·DEN11.0
WRGeorge Pickens WR·DAL16.6
WRDavante Adams WR·LAR12.3
TEKyle Pitts TE·ATL10.9
FLEXDJ Moore WR·BUF12.1
KNick Folk K·ATL6.0
DEFSEA DEF DEF·SEA8.8

Bench

Patrick Mahomes QB·KC17.1
Stefon Diggs WR·WAS11.4
Chuba Hubbard RB·CAR10.3
Deebo Samuel WR·SF10.1
Tyreek Hill WR—

Bbradyschroeder7

The linehold 4.5%

bradyschroeder7-1-12051.7%

noahkhaja+1-10048.3%

O/U 237spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

noahkhaja117.8 proj

QBJustin Herbert QB·LAC18.1
RBSaquon Barkley RB·PHI14.9
RBChase Brown RB·CIN16.8
WRLadd McConkey WR·LAC13.3
WRJaylen Waddle WR·DEN14.8
TEIsaiah Likely TE·NYG9.6
FLEXRhamondre Stevenson RB·NE16.4
KWill Reichard K·MIN6.7
DEFDEN DEF DEF·DEN7.2

Bench

Kyler Murray QB·MIN17.4
Josh Downs WR·IND12.5
Michael Pittman WR·PIT10.8
Dallas Goedert TE·PHI9.8
Tank Bigsby RB·PHI5.0

bradyschroeder7119.0 proj

QBTrevor Lawrence QB·JAX17.8
RBAshton Jeanty RB·LV13.8
RBBucky Irving RB·TB12.2
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba WR·SEA19.7
WRLuther Burden WR·CHI13.5
TETrey McBride TE·ARI15.6
FLEXMarvin Harrison WR·ARI10.7
KBrandon Aubrey K·DAL6.8
DEFPIT DEF DEF·PIT8.9

Bench

Malik Willis QB·MIA16.9
Wan'Dale Robinson WR·TEN9.9
Kenny Gainwell RB·TB9.5
Chris Rodriguez RB·JAX8.1
TreVeyon Henderson RB·NE—

The linehold 4.5%

jwhitego42-3-13554.6%

MattWike+3+11045.4%

O/U 239.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

MattWike118.4 proj

QBJalen Hurts QB·PHI20.0
RBDerrick Henry RB·BAL15.7
RBCam Skattebo RB·NYG14.0
WRJustin Jefferson WR·MIN16.8
WRRashee Rice WR·KC14.5
TEGeorge Kittle TE·SF10.1
FLEXJaylen Warren RB·PIT13.3
KJason Myers K·SEA6.9
DEFLAR DEF DEF·LAR7.1

Bench

Baker Mayfield QB·TB17.2
Mike Evans WR·SF12.8
Romeo Doubs WR·NE10.6
KC Concepcion WR·CLE9.5
Jordyn Tyson WR·NO—

jwhitego42120.3 proj

QBJared Goff QB·DET18.2
RBJeremiyah Love RB·ARI13.3
RBJadarian Price RB·SEA9.8
WRPuka Nacua WR·LAR20.5
WRA.J. Brown WR·NE16.8
TEHarold Fannin TE·CLE11.6
FLEXTee Higgins WR·CIN15.6
KJake Bates K·DET7.2
DEFDET DEF DEF·DET7.3

Bench

Carnell Tate WR·TEN11.8
Michael Wilson WR·ARI11.3
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB·WAS10.8
Xavier Worthy WR·KC9.8
Mike Washington RB·LV4.7

Projected totals are each team’s optimal lineup for the week off Sleeper’s player projections. Once games kick off the card switches to live points and refreshes on the sync cadence.

The line is set from the projected margin and each side’s modeled volatility. Moneyline prices carry a ~4.5% house hold; spreads are priced -110 both ways. You’re the house — these are your numbers to open with, shade them however you like.