2026 Projections

Preseason · every team’s current roster, optimal lineup off Sleeper’s weekly player projections, 6,000-sim Monte Carlo of the rest of the season · updated Sep 9

Preseason means everyone's undefeated and delusional. The roster math says jchase77 is the team to beat and roughly half of you should not be making plans for January.

#TeamPts/WkProj. RecordPlayoffsTitleLast
1JShow me your TDsjchase77120.28.55.580%23%1.0%
2TNix Out For HarambeTyscans121.08.15.977%19%1.8%
3JWhat the Goffjwhitego42116.67.46.659%11%4.1%
4BThe A-Teambarmstrong248118.97.36.759%6.8%4.7%
5TrevorNacua MatataTrevor114.67.26.851%6.8%6.0%
6DNo Punt IntendedDHensleyWC7L113.67.16.949%6.2%6.7%
7MMattWikeMattWike116.87.07.051%9.3%7.3%
8BLike A Good Nabersbradyschroeder7116.26.77.344%4.3%8.6%
9NBy Hook or CookNshull3114.56.67.441%5.2%9.2%
10TKibbles and Vickstrae071091114.16.57.540%4.4%11%
11NWho’s your Laddy?noahkhaja111.45.98.125%2.4%20%
12DWaddle Housedrewhenrikson111.95.88.224%2.4%20%

The Tape

J
1. jchase77Show me your TDs · proj 8.5 wins · 120.2 pts/wk · 22.5% title

Projected first and still ringless — you've had the best roster before and found a way.

QB Dak Prescott 18.9RB Jahmyr Gibbs 23.7RB D'Andre Swift 13.6WR Nico Collins 17.4WR Emeka Egbuka 11.7TE Colston Loveland 14.2K Harrison Mevis 7.1DEF HOU DEF 7.1WR Brian Thomas 10.5
T
2. TyscansNix Out For Harambe · proj 8.1 wins · 121.0 pts/wk · 19.2% title

10th last year, 2nd now — the roster finally showed up.

QB Caleb Williams 19.6RB Christian McCaffrey 21.0RB Kenneth Walker 16.0WR Zay Flowers 15.6WR DeVonta Smith 14.9TE Tyler Warren 13.9K Ka'imi Fairbairn 6.8DEF PHI DEF 8.7WR Jayden Reed 13.1
J
3. jwhitego42What the Goff · proj 7.4 wins · 116.6 pts/wk · 10.6% title

25-15 for your career and this year won't move it much.

QB Jared Goff 18.2RB Jeremiyah Love 13.3RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10.8WR Puka Nacua 20.5WR A.J. Brown 16.8TE Harold Fannin 11.6K Jake Bates 7.2DEF DET DEF 7.3WR Tee Higgins 15.6
B
4. barmstrong248The A-Team · proj 7.3 wins · 118.9 pts/wk · 6.8% title

12th last year, 4th now — the roster finally showed up.

QB Joe Burrow 20.1RB Jonathan Taylor 19.6RB Javonte Williams 15.5WR Drake London 15.8WR Jameson Williams 13.9TE Mark Andrews 10.9K Chris Boswell 6.0DEF MIN DEF 7.3RB David Montgomery 13.9
Trevor
5. TrevorNacua Matata · proj 7.2 wins · 114.6 pts/wk · 6.8% title

15-25 for your career and this year won't move it much.

QB Jayden Daniels 19.0RB Kyren Williams 14.4RB Bhayshul Tuten 11.3WR Ja'Marr Chase 19.7WR Terry McLaurin 13.6TE Brock Bowers 16.0K Tyler Loop 7.1DEF NE DEF 6.7WR DK Metcalf 11.9
D
6. DHensleyWC7LNo Punt Intended · proj 7.1 wins · 113.6 pts/wk · 6.2% title

Projected 6th at 114 points a week. Solidly, forgettably fine.

QB Drake Maye 19.7RB Omarion Hampton 15.6RB Breece Hall 13.9WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 19.8WR Tetairoa McMillan 14.0TE Tucker Kraft 10.9K Evan McPherson 6.8DEF LAC DEF 8.5WR Jordan Addison 11.2
M
7. MattWikeMattWike · proj 7.0 wins · 116.8 pts/wk · 9.3% title

3rd to 7th in one offseason. Impressive, in a way.

QB Jalen Hurts 20.0RB Derrick Henry 15.7RB Cam Skattebo 14.0WR Justin Jefferson 16.8WR Rashee Rice 14.5TE George Kittle 10.1K Jason Myers 6.9DEF LAR DEF 7.1RB Jaylen Warren 13.3
B
8. bradyschroeder7Like A Good Nabers · proj 6.7 wins · 116.2 pts/wk · 4.3% title

Projected 8th, outside the cut. The roster says spectator.

QB Trevor Lawrence 17.8RB Ashton Jeanty 13.8RB Bucky Irving 12.2WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 19.7WR Luther Burden 13.5TE Trey McBride 15.6K Brandon Aubrey 6.8DEF PIT DEF 8.9WR Marvin Harrison 10.7
N
9. Nshull3By Hook or Cook · proj 6.6 wins · 114.5 pts/wk · 5.2% title

Finished 2nd last year, projected 9th now. The roster aged in dog years.

QB Josh Allen 21.1RB James Cook 17.1RB Quinshon Judkins 12.2WR Chris Olave 16.2WR Christian Watson 13.7TE Travis Kelce 11.0K Cameron Dicker 7.2DEF BAL DEF 7.4WR Parker Washington 11.9
T
10. trae071091Kibbles and Vicks · proj 6.5 wins · 114.1 pts/wk · 4.4% title

7 projected wins. Draft better.

QB Lamar Jackson 20.9RB Bijan Robinson 21.5RB J.K. Dobbins 11.0WR George Pickens 16.6WR Davante Adams 12.3TE Kyle Pitts 10.9K Nick Folk 6.0DEF SEA DEF 8.8WR DJ Moore 12.1
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11. noahkhajaWho’s your Laddy? · proj 5.9 wins · 111.4 pts/wk · 2.4% title

Projected 11th with a 20% shot at dead last. Measure your mantel for the toilet.

QB Justin Herbert 18.1RB Chase Brown 16.8RB Rhamondre Stevenson 16.4WR Jaylen Waddle 14.8WR Ladd McConkey 13.3TE Dallas Goedert 9.8K Will Reichard 6.7DEF DEN DEF 7.2RB Saquon Barkley 14.9
D
12. drewhenriksonWaddle House · proj 5.8 wins · 111.9 pts/wk · 2.4% title

20% to finish last. The other 80% is optimism.

QB Jordan Love 17.4RB De'Von Achane 17.5RB Travis Etienne 15.0WR CeeDee Lamb 17.1WR Malik Nabers 13.9TE Sam LaPorta 13.5K Cam Little 6.5DEF JAX DEF 9.5WR Courtland Sutton 10.6

Projected points come from Sleeper’s weekly player projections with the optimal lineup set each week (bench points don’t count). Roasts by the house AI off each team’s real numbers.